Incoprea Theory
Vol. XXXI · 129

Theory 06/Selection optimises

Means Optimise, Variances Don't

The claim

Selection optimises the mean of a trait while leaving its variance to drift and mutation, so populations can be well adapted and highly fragile.

01Mechanism

Directional selection moves means; variance is only weakly selected unless it affects fitness directly.

02Prediction

Adapted populations should retain large trait variance.

03Refutation

Variance also optimised would remove the asymmetry.