Theory 92/New facility/Soil carbon
Decadal Warming Needed
The claim
Whether warmed soil loses carbon depends on whether the response persists beyond the first years, which only decade-scale warming can establish.
01Mechanism
Initial respiration increases may reflect labile carbon that would have been lost anyway.
02Prediction
Persistent loss should appear only after a decade.
03Refutation
Transient response would remove the storage claim.