Incoprea Theory
Vol. XXIX · 109

Theory 14/Existing data/Fire

Severity Tracks Treatment Age

The claim

Burn severity in treated forests tracks the age of the fuel treatment more than treatment type, because regrowth restores fuel within a predictable period.

01Mechanism

Treatments reduce fuel temporarily; the reduction decays with regrowth.

02Prediction

Severity should rise with years since treatment.

03Refutation

Severity tracking treatment type would remove the decay.