Theory 04/Existing data/Seismology
Aftershocks Follow Slip Heterogeneity
The claim
Aftershock decay constants correlate with the heterogeneity of mainshock slip rather than with mainshock magnitude.
01Mechanism
Rough slip leaves unequilibrated stress patches that relax over time; heterogeneity sets how much remains.
02Prediction
Decay should track slip roughness.
03Refutation
Decay tracking magnitude would remove heterogeneity.