Incoprea Theory
Vol. XX · 49

Theory 25/Sensitivity vs Specificity/Seismic monitoring

Dense Networks Hear Noise

The claim

Seismic networks trade detection sensitivity against false event rate, so adding low-quality stations raises detections and misclassifications together.

01Mechanism

Lower detection thresholds admit more small events and more noise artefacts; discrimination requires quality, not count.

02Prediction

False rate should rise with network density.

03Refutation

False rate independent of density would remove the trade-off.