Incoprea Theory
Vol. XX · 49

Theory 24/Sensitivity vs Specificity/Anomaly detection

Alarms Trade Against Silence

The claim

Anomaly detection systems trade detection rate against false alarm rate, and the operating point should be set by the cost of response capacity, not by the algorithm.

01Mechanism

Every alert consumes response resources; a system tuned for sensitivity will exhaust the responders and lose the benefit.

02Prediction

Effective detection should peak at an intermediate alarm rate.

03Refutation

Effective detection rising with alarm rate would remove the trade-off.