Incoprea Theory
Vol. XVIII · 99

Theory 63/Mountain & Alpine/Avalanche regime

Avalanche Return Is a Load Ratio

The claim

Avalanche return interval is set by the ratio of snowpack accumulation rate to slope stability, not by snowfall alone.

01Mechanism

Slabs fail when load exceeds strength; the ratio determines how often that is reached on a given slope.

02Prediction

Interval should track the ratio.

03Refutation

Interval tracking snowfall would remove stability.