Incoprea hypothesis tests · volume II

Solar Cells Have a Band-Gap Limit

Energy & Power Systems · notebook volume 16 · Exact calculation n = 176

The claim

Single-junction solar efficiency is capped by the ratio of band gap to photon energy, producing an optimum gap rather than a monotonic improvement with absorption.

What was tested

Efficiency should peak at an intermediate band gap; efficiency increasing with absorption (decreasing gap) would remove the trade-off.

Falsified by: Efficiency increasing with absorption would remove the trade-off.

Method

Shockley-Queisser detailed balance. Source: 5778 K blackbody normalised to 1000 W/m2. Cell at 300 K; every photon above the gap absorbed, radiative recombination only; ideal fill factor. Band gap swept from 0.55 to 2.30 eV.

Result

2026-10-30T13:27:21.385466 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.11.2, https://matplotlib.org/ 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 band gap (eV) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 efficiency (%) silicon 1.12 eV optimum 1.25 eV, 31% One gap, one peak: the detailed-balance ceiling
Figure generated by code/tests/shockley-queisser.py from the recorded run.
Optimum gap (eV)1.25
Efficiency at the optimum31%
Ceiling at silicon 1.12 eV31%
Ceiling at GaAs 1.42 eV30%
Open-circuit voltage at optimum (V)1.00
Fill factor at optimum0.88
supported

Efficiency peaks at 31% at a gap of 1.25 eV, and falls to 19% at 0.6 eV and 19% at 2.2 eV. The trade-off is two-sided: below the optimum, excess photon energy is lost as heat; above it, photons pass through. Silicon at 1.12 eV has a ceiling of 31%, which is why its laboratory record near 27% is close to the single-junction limit for that gap.

Limits

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