Incoprea hypothesis tests · volume II

Heat Pumps Fail at a Lift

Energy & Environment · notebook volume 8 · Model n = 181

The claim

Heat pump performance falls sharply above a threshold temperature lift, so the same unit can be efficient in a mild climate and marginal in a cold one, and the threshold is set by the compressor rather than by the refrigerant.

What was tested

Coefficient of performance should fall sharply above a lift threshold; the fall-off should not be a smooth thermodynamic decline.

Falsified by: Smooth performance fall-off across lifts would remove the threshold.

Method

Fixed source at 2 C, sink temperature raised in 0.5 K steps to 95 K of lift. Coefficient of performance is 0.5 times the Carnot value (fixed second-law efficiency). R410A saturation pressure is fitted through 0.798 MPa at 0 C and 2.417 MPa at 40 C (Clausius-Clapeyron), giving the pressure ratio a single-stage compressor must deliver. A compressor limit of pressure ratio 8 marks the design cut-out.

Result

2026-10-30T12:56:49.536381 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.11.2, https://matplotlib.org/ 20 40 60 80 temperature lift (K) 0 10 20 30 40 50 coefficient of performance pressure ratio 8 at 88 K A smooth decline, then a mechanical cut-out realistic COP (0.5 x Carnot) Carnot ceiling
Figure generated by code/tests/heat-pump-lift-threshold.py from the recorded run.
COP at 20 K lift6.88
COP at 40 K lift3.44
COP at 60 K lift2.29
Pressure ratio 8 reached at (K)88
COP at the cut-out1.56
not supported

COP falls from 6.88 at 20 K of lift to 2.29 at 60 K — a smooth hyperbolic decline, with the local elasticity constant at about 0.050 per K. The pressure-ratio limit of 8 is reached only at 88 K of lift, where the COP is still 1.56; the unit cuts out there for mechanical protection, not because performance has collapsed. There is no thermodynamic threshold.

Limits

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