{
  "review_type": "internal Codex independent numerical audit, not external peer review",
  "checked_utc": "2026-10-30T17:19:42.786539+00:00",
  "verdict": "PASS",
  "scope": "sealed v2 nominal-calendar chronology-sensitivity diagnostic only; no physical timeline/actual French sizing claim",
  "plan_sha256": "07add03f2e9de805f1170f0aebaa29dfb157443b5d93d83a877f3ffde1ddaa53",
  "runner_sha256": "2bcb9e611039bb450cb70aa072f03f32d65b9fea9f4d9a95bf99b0fe23fdcaec",
  "independent_math_script_sha256": "b2d799145f89f348617aaf29bb1a19f07c3382af1c5e7a0eeeb0c7782dc1aa25",
  "audit_script_sha256": "225b4d41a4b04a8a4fcb21b0bbd460b6677eab960d4e8e07ef0dcb121018c762",
  "comparison_count": 201412,
  "issues": [],
  "conditions": 50,
  "permutations": 49950,
  "independently_recomputed_original_conditions": [
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "416856428375398610649601/12295989726910240",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "6147994863455120",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "81884022672089500258693/2764783282892740",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "6911958207231850",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "427358395693653810563/11558686521436",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "866901489107700",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "14666418053225810323793/850581533166850",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "850581533166850",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "6790816530157674903908/194879908203905",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "194879908203905",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "2743756637325053065351/88326182125475",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1413218914007600",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "760549622342204262457891/20606352841556470",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "10303176420778235",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "26614097242531676525431/854207337709440",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "427103668854720",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "13425255365960966818089/418312340745575",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "418312340745575",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "239297140141462360225131/9170731147398970",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "4585365573699485",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "144470757720821531205307/2459197945382048",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1229598972691024",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "130776685847271662245389/2764783282892740",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1382391641446370",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "20181065017630807568953/346760595643080",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "173380297821540",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "4080640075815853836041/85058153316685",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1190814146433590",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "30917335335452516944085/545663742970934",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "272831871485467",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "3891653166965467639839/80755366514720",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "282643782801520",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "245191451960445247172399/4121270568311294",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "2060635284155647",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "1882117121760724279781/39424954048128",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "256262201312832",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "24592673286787071794377/501974808894690",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "250987404447345",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "87856559970701992901393/1834146229479794",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "917073114739897",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "359209684335902319074703/12295989726910240",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "6147994863455120",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "104031568998365452837489/2764783282892740",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "6911958207231850",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "1627132691296766925167/72241790758975",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "288967163035900",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "431909851022060631912177/11908141464335900",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "5954070732167950",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "49490202069017524906512/1364159357427335",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1364159357427335",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "10479327146444809473853/353304728501900",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1413218914007600",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "144697416853337500152463/4121270568311294",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "10303176420778235",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "86310943722972786419507/2562622013128320",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1281311006564160",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "35944914890377072207911/836624681491150",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1254937022236725",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "300683089150062686491239/9170731147398970",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "4585365573699485",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "50500593555300537797037/1516631544539120",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "758315772269560",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "33061734791725777406497/1134631357693215",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "2269262715386430",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17472
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "35490671567796080185907/951065503443920",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1426598255165880",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "100422361368265335459797/5888082058983500",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "5888082058983500",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "75436188935649672752905/2161355314805728",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1080677657402864",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "59537336254456181987101/1948624736185974",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1948624736185974",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17472
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "185696069743882751128611/5083273227141200",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "10166546454282400",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "58027236486314773181/1861621136720",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "14892969093760",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "315253230074548835422079/9890124646358000",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "14835186969537000",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17424
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "775010303302458368215789/30309875381712120",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "15154937690856060",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17472
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "2126091700173714082139/62747009592800",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "219614533574800",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "3899545533627315428081/131722144533320",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "329305361333300",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "213672509893131862340/5782169103013",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "1734650730903900",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "14661715898911788834797/850923082224880",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "425461541112440",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "9053142554433193252547/259892984930930",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "129946492465465",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "175598195333327513757539/5653858635037480",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "2826929317518740",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "760549622342204262457891/20606352841556470",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "10303176420778235",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "26614097242531676525431/854207337709440",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "427103668854720",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "13425255365960966818089/418312340745575",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "418312340745575",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17520
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "independent_exact_capacity_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "239297140141462360225131/9170731147398970",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "independent_residual_denominator": "4585365573699485",
      "exact_cycle_zero": true,
      "nominal_slots": 17568
    }
  ],
  "preselected_full_slot_replays": [
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "replicate": 0,
      "seed": 13935249689894511396,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "381328579074418191998949/12295989726910240",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "03a3b8448e133d93db6f42fed620a19a2013b6a3b38c6c11946e74ab2126d376",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17520,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "replicate": 998,
      "seed": 13017668359434642568,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "358334570992965341432301/12295989726910240",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "08123b2a6ca5e20a3dd81f006ba8a474a9c2f648b068c164eaf6c56a359ffc1c",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17520,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "replicate": 0,
      "seed": 3214672461581373376,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "22776809449697580548480/917073114739897",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "872d4fc421448819dbf22466ccf73ef34a12edc896c82932a00617f8b0f9c2a1",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17568,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "replicate": 499,
      "seed": 14474321000143926821,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "25562636793226062267343/565287565603040",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "d1fd8e5ffcbe1e8e9ed56d57b3e3666f8523de7c5462303f5338e4307b561eaf",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17568,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "replicate": 0,
      "seed": 8477214373662550862,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "1829832170357046290053/53387958606840",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "83ef9b4238caddb40b15b2581a29da8490ffc262551a236a989512955b5b16da",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17520,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "replicate": 0,
      "seed": 2109095524721868744,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "133645127883314088260077/6061975076342424",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "f6e7f84ddb54fb04ec10a9dab0eb405c30046003188ca1b8194f06176a017ec3",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17472,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "replicate": 0,
      "seed": 8918869270619359285,
      "capacity_exact_nominal_MWh_equivalent": "12818655147918920452189/439229067149600",
      "author_exact_capacity_matches": true,
      "order_sha256": "ca973c08081ce18cc4d8bba13d59f804079f084f87a69a4122ca75fc11fc1ae8",
      "order_matches": true,
      "direct_slots": 17520,
      "exact_cycle_zero": true
    }
  ],
  "across_year_summaries_verified": [
    {
      "scenario": "primary_70_30",
      "years": 10,
      "median_original_to_reference_ratio": 1.1074194669490707,
      "minimum_ratio": 1.026863069161585,
      "maximum_ratio": 1.2781301832123924,
      "years_above_reference_median": 10,
      "years_below_reference_median": 0,
      "years_outside_central95_reference": 6,
      "mean_year_log_ratio": 0.11296247403628994,
      "sd_year_log_ratio": 0.06254703359785278
    },
    {
      "scenario": "sensitivity_50_50",
      "years": 10,
      "median_original_to_reference_ratio": 1.0557871278077093,
      "minimum_ratio": 1.0217583970315909,
      "maximum_ratio": 1.1444239163705345,
      "years_above_reference_median": 10,
      "years_below_reference_median": 0,
      "years_outside_central95_reference": 9,
      "mean_year_log_ratio": 0.0595454340003119,
      "sd_year_log_ratio": 0.030420171163041944
    },
    {
      "scenario": "sensitivity_90_10",
      "years": 10,
      "median_original_to_reference_ratio": 1.156827784458875,
      "minimum_ratio": 0.9839889730598103,
      "maximum_ratio": 1.444680946264633,
      "years_above_reference_median": 9,
      "years_below_reference_median": 1,
      "years_outside_central95_reference": 6,
      "mean_year_log_ratio": 0.14056753353141635,
      "sd_year_log_ratio": 0.10802452363347168
    },
    {
      "scenario": "sensitivity_remove_DST_dates",
      "years": 10,
      "median_original_to_reference_ratio": 1.0971995592793378,
      "minimum_ratio": 1.0249619859341546,
      "maximum_ratio": 1.2891091177567273,
      "years_above_reference_median": 10,
      "years_below_reference_median": 0,
      "years_outside_central95_reference": 7,
      "mean_year_log_ratio": 0.11541750830576425,
      "sd_year_log_ratio": 0.06994351320246808
    },
    {
      "scenario": "sensitivity_nonnegative_generation",
      "years": 10,
      "median_original_to_reference_ratio": 1.1089062582577496,
      "minimum_ratio": 1.0282745839415548,
      "maximum_ratio": 1.270971474757298,
      "years_above_reference_median": 10,
      "years_below_reference_median": 0,
      "years_outside_central95_reference": 6,
      "mean_year_log_ratio": 0.1131618791754985,
      "sd_year_log_ratio": 0.06119958260353691
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Seven selected full-slot permutation capacities were independently regenerated, not all49950; every retained row seed, unit conversion and every output summary was checked.",
    "Source physical UTC timeline remains unresolved; v2 uses declared nominal slot weights.",
    "This checks internal numerical consistency and declared model implementation, not independent validation of source measurements or external peer review."
  ]
}
