# A MAP OF UNKNOWNS

*Why this folder contains generators and not just more hypotheses*

The five expeditions produced 1,500 hypotheses. Almost all of them were **claims** — things that might
be true. That is one kind of output, and it has a ceiling: every claim you can state is, by the act of
stating it, already inside the space of things you can imagine.

This folder tries something else. It collects **operations**, **questions**, **candidates for the
invisible**, and **inventions** — the machinery that produces claims rather than the claims.

---

## The taxonomy

Ignorance is not one thing. Fourteen kinds are distinguishable, and they fail differently.

**1. Unmeasured.** Measurable with existing instruments, simply not measured. *Detection:* look for
quantities that are always inferred from something else. *Fix:* measure it directly. Most of the v1–v5
"existing-data" entries live here.

**2. Unrewarded.** Measurable and uninteresting to whoever would have to do it — no paper, no product,
no grant. *Detection:* ask what measurement would settle a dispute but produce a boring result either
way. *Fix:* framing it as a methods result. This is where Program F of Expedition V lived.

**3. Resolution-walled.** Below an instrument's reach, for a reason that is architectural rather than
temporary. *Detection:* the quantity scales with a parameter you cannot change — the electron
wavelength, the diffraction limit, the thermal noise floor. *Fix:* change the *observable*, not the
instrument. (The NV rosette in Expedition IV is an example: the split between four orientations gives a
tensor without improving the sensor.)

**4. Conceptually unavailable.** The phenomenon is measured but has no name, so it is reported as noise,
as part of another quantity, or not at all. *Detection:* look for things that are reproducible and
unnamed. *Fix:* name it, then look for its scaling law. This is the most under-exploited category in
the collection.

**5. Assumption-hidden.** The thing is invisible because an assumption is in the methods section and not
in the results. *Detection:* read the methods of a field you do not belong to and ask which step is a
choice. *Fix:* vary the choice. (Expedition V Program C is entirely this.)

**6. Boundary-invisible.** Falls between two fields, so no journal, no reviewer and no grant panel owns
it. *Detection:* the two halves are each well studied and their interface is not. *Fix:* a review paper
that is actually a research programme.

**7. Unit-incommensurable.** Two fields measure "the same" quantity in units that differ by a factor
that everybody absorbs silently — a per-mass versus per-volume, a per-atom versus per-mole, a
full-width versus half-width. *Detection:* compare two standard values that should agree and do not.
*Fix:* dimension analysis across the boundary. Some of the best findings in the corpus came from this
(e.g. the 4πG versus 2πG coefficient).

**8. Averaged away.** The mean is reported; the mechanism is in the variance, the skew, or the tails.
*Detection:* anything reported as a single number with a standard deviation. *Fix:* report the
distribution. Expedition IV's single-cell batch is largely this.

**9. Subtracted as background.** The quantity is measured, then removed by an automated correction, and
never inspected. *Detection:* every pipeline has a step labelled "background subtraction". *Fix:* run it
backwards and look at what was removed.

**10. Rare but real.** Real, large when it happens, and too infrequent to study. *Detection:* tail
events that are individually dismissed. *Fix:* stack them, or find a proxy that fires more often.

**11. Forbidden by prior.** Would contradict a load-bearing assumption, so it is not looked for — not
because anyone is suppressing it, but because the search would look incompetent. *Detection:* ask what
a field would do with a positive result. *Fix:* design the test so that a null is also publishable.

**12. Systematically non-reproducible.** Either noise or real-but-uncontrolled; the field has stopped
asking which. *Detection:* a well-known effect everyone privately doubts. *Fix:* a pre-registered
multi-lab trial — expensive, and the only honest route.

**13. Unfalsifiable-in-practice.** Testable in principle only on a timescale or budget nobody will
spend. *Detection:* "it would take a thousand years". *Fix:* find an analogue system or a shorter
proxy. Expedition III's mantle entries struggled here.

**14. Genuinely unknown.** No instrument, no concept, no handle. **This category cannot be enumerated.**
Anything listed under it would, by the act of listing, cease to be in it.

---

## The one honest handle on category 14

You cannot list unknown unknowns. You can, however, identify **places where the machinery of knowing is
structurally blind** — and those are the only places where a category-14 item could be hiding in plain
sight. Five such places recur:

- **Where a correction is applied automatically.** Whatever the correction removes is, by construction,
  not in the data anybody looks at.
- **Where two conventions meet.** Any factor silently absorbed at a boundary is invisible on both sides.
- **Where a measurement is a proxy for a mechanism.** The proxy's own behaviour becomes the thing
  studied.
- **Where an effect is defined as an error.** Noise, drift, artefact, leakage — each is a label that
  ends inquiry.
- **Where the incentive is absent.** No career, no product, no paper.

Notice that all five are *properties of the knowledge machine*, not of nature. That is the useful
consequence: the unknown unknown, whatever it is, is more likely to be sitting behind a structural
blind spot than in an exotic physical regime.

---

## What this folder therefore contains

- **Generators** — operations that take a problem and produce an idea you would not have reached by
  staring at the problem. These are the most transferable output.
- **Inventions** — things with a mechanism and a first test, where the obstacle is technical.
- **Discoveries** — questions whose blocker is identified, not merely their subject.
- **Unknown territory** — twenty candidates for the invisible, each with the reason it is probably
  nothing.
- **Unasked questions** — questions whose absence has a structural cause.

---

## What it deliberately does not contain

- **Another 300 hypotheses.** The five expeditions already did that, and a sixth would add volume
  rather than reach.
- **Claims that the unknown has been mapped.** The map is of *how* things go missing, not of *what* is
  missing.
- **Novelty claims.** No literature search backs anything here. A reader who finds one of these already
  published has found a defect in the folder, and that is the expected outcome for some fraction of it.

---

## How to use it

If you have a problem: read `01_GENERATORS` first and apply three operations to it. If you have a
laboratory: read `02_INVENTIONS` and pick the one whose first test is cheapest. If you have a dataset:
read `05_UNASKED_QUESTIONS`. If you want to know where to look for something nobody has seen: read
`04_UNKNOWN_TERRITORY`, and read its honest-status lines first.
