Incoprea Theory
Volume VIII · 100

Theory 012/Earth & Space /Volcanology

Tremor Pitch Tracks the Gas Fraction

Tremor is read as a resonance of the plumbing. The pitch may be measuring bubbles.

The claim

Volcanic tremor frequency is set by the gas volume fraction in the conduit rather than by conduit length, so a shift in pitch records a change in exsolution rather than a change in geometry.

01The evidence

Tremor frequency changes before eruptions in ways that are not accompanied by measurable geometry change, which points to a fluid property.

02The tension

Tremor is modelled as a resonant organ pipe, which makes frequency a function of length and wave speed. Geometry changes are inferred to explain the shifts, and those inferences are rarely confirmed.

03The mechanism

A bubbly liquid has a sound speed that falls sharply with gas fraction, reaching a minimum near a few per cent gas. The resonant frequency of a fixed conduit therefore drops as gas increases.

That makes pitch a gas-fraction gauge, and it predicts that the largest frequency shifts should occur at low gas fractions where sound speed is most sensitive.

04What this is not

Resonant-conduit models

Conduit models make pitch a geometry measure. This makes it a gas measure, which predicts shifts without geometry change.

05Predictions

  • P1Frequency should track gas fraction at fixed geometry.
  • P2The largest shifts should occur at low gas fractions.
  • P3Pitch should recover when gas resolves out.

06Refutation

Frequency tracking conduit length at controlled gas would restore the resonance model.

07What it changes

It would turn tremor into a real-time gas monitor.