Theory 57/Lake turnover/Termination phase
Re-Stratification Follows Heat Input
The claim
Mixing ends when the ratio of surface heating to mixing energy exceeds one, so early ice cover locks in a mixed or stratified state.
01Mechanism
Heating rebuilds the gradient while wind destroys it; the ratio decides the outcome.
02Prediction
Final state should track the ratio.
03Refutation
Final state tracking date would remove heating.