Incoprea Theory
Vol. XXIV · 219

Theory 31/Snowpack/Rate lens

Melt Follows Energy, Not Air

The claim

Snowmelt rate is set by the rate of net energy input rather than by air temperature, so a windy warm night can melt more than a still sunny day.

01Mechanism

Melt requires latent heat; radiation, sensible heat and rain all contribute, and their sum at the surface governs the rate.

02Prediction

Melt should track energy flux better than temperature.

03Refutation

Melt tracking temperature would remove the energy balance.