Theory 206/Emergency response/Threshold lens
Collapse Needs a Surge Threshold
The claim
Response capability collapses above a threshold in the ratio of incidents to capacity, because queues compound.
01Mechanism
Beyond capacity, waiting grows without bound; the threshold marks the transition from delay to failure.
02Prediction
Collapse should occur at a ratio.
03Refutation
Collapse increasing smoothly with incidents would remove the queue.