Theory 45/Millennia/Permafrost carbon
Permafrost Carbon Is Thaw Against Decay
The claim
Carbon release from thawing permafrost is set by the ratio of thaw rate to decomposition rate, so fast thaw releases carbon that slow thaw would have stored.
01Mechanism
Carbon becomes available when thawed and is lost when decomposed; the ratio determines which outpaces the other.
02Prediction
Release should track the ratio.
03Refutation
Release tracking thawed area would remove decomposition.