Incoprea Theory
Vol. XVI · 99

Theory 92/Selection & Bias/Clinical epidemiology

Hospital Cohorts Are Selected

The claim

Associations observed in hospital cohorts are biased by referral, so a factor that increases admission can appear protective or harmful without affecting disease.

01Mechanism

Admission requires both the disease and the referral pathway; conditioning on admission induces associations absent in the population.

02Prediction

Associations should differ between hospital and population samples.

03Refutation

Identical associations in both would remove referral bias.