Incoprea Theory
Vol. XVI · 99

Theory 98/Selection & Bias/Cohort studies

Time Before Treatment Counts

The claim

Classifying participants by treatment received after follow-up begins creates immortal time, biasing survival in favour of the treated group.

01Mechanism

Participants must survive to receive treatment; the period before treatment is counted as exposed, which no one who died could contribute.

02Prediction

Bias should shrink when treatment is treated as time-varying.

03Refutation

Stable estimates under time-varying analysis would remove the bias.