Incoprea Theory
Vol. X · 999 project

Theory 056/Water & Sanitation

Well Decline Has a Knee

The claim

Well yield declines abruptly once specific capacity falls below a threshold, because turbulent losses overtake laminar flow.

01The mechanism

Drawdown has a linear and a quadratic term; when the quadratic dominates, small increases in pumping produce large drawdown.

02Predictions

  • P1Yield should collapse below a specific capacity.
  • P2Step testing should show the transition.

03Refutation

Yield declining smoothly with drawdown would remove the threshold.