Incoprea Theory
Vol. X · 999 project

Theory 065/Mining & Minerals

Tailings Fail at a Water Line

The claim

Tailings dam failure is set by the ratio of phreatic surface height to crest height rather than by dam height.

01The mechanism

Static liquefaction risk rises when the water table approaches the crest, reducing effective stress in the impoundment.

02Predictions

  • P1Failure should track the ratio.
  • P2Taller dams with deep water tables should be safer.

03Refutation

Failure tracking dam height would remove the water table term.