Incoprea Theory
Vol. X · 999 project

Theory 060/Water & Sanitation

Sanitation Adoption Is a Ratio

The claim

Sanitation adoption is set by the ratio of convenience to cost rather than by health messaging.

01The mechanism

Households adopt what is easier than the alternative; messaging changes beliefs, not the daily cost of use.

02Predictions

  • P1Adoption should track the ratio.
  • P2Health campaigns alone should underperform convenience improvements.

03Refutation

Adoption tracking messaging would favour the information model.