Incoprea Theory
Vol. X · 999 project

Theory 113/Forestry & Fire Ecology

Regeneration Is Seed vs Severity

The claim

Post-fire regeneration is set by the ratio of seed bank to burn severity rather than by burn area.

01The mechanism

Recovery requires surviving seed; severe burns consume the bank, and area only matters through how much of it is severely burned.

02Predictions

  • P1Regeneration should track the ratio.
  • P2Burned area alone should mispredict.

03Refutation

Regeneration tracking area would remove the severity term.