F3: Estimator disagreement in tail indices

F3 — Estimator disagreement in tail indices. Hill and PWM disagree by more than 20% at every sample size tested. 100 of 100 verified.
IDClaimValueVerified
F3-001At n=50, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 5.89x5.893holds
F3-002At n=53, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 5.16x5.156holds
F3-003At n=56, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.27x4.27holds
F3-004At n=59, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 6.18x6.178holds
F3-005At n=63, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.90x3.9holds
F3-006At n=66, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 6.37x6.368holds
F3-007At n=70, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.43x3.432holds
F3-008At n=75, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.69x3.691holds
F3-009At n=79, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 5.45x5.449holds
F3-010At n=84, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.71x4.707holds
F3-011At n=89, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.14x4.141holds
F3-012At n=94, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.35x4.349holds
F3-013At n=100, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 7.35x7.347holds
F3-014At n=106, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.83x3.834holds
F3-015At n=113, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.68x4.681holds
F3-016At n=119, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.86x4.862holds
F3-017At n=127, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.52x4.524holds
F3-018At n=134, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.47x4.47holds
F3-019At n=142, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.77x4.77holds
F3-020At n=151, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.67x4.674holds
F3-021At n=160, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.49x4.494holds
F3-022At n=169, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.85x3.854holds
F3-023At n=180, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.31x3.305holds
F3-024At n=190, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.91x3.911holds
F3-025At n=202, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.53x3.532holds
F3-026At n=214, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.33x4.331holds
F3-027At n=227, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 5.19x5.193holds
F3-028At n=241, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.76x4.763holds
F3-029At n=255, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.89x3.888holds
F3-030At n=270, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.32x4.318holds
F3-031At n=287, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.66x4.655holds
F3-032At n=304, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.97x4.969holds
F3-033At n=322, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.32x4.317holds
F3-034At n=342, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.16x4.163holds
F3-035At n=362, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.35x4.354holds
F3-036At n=384, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.39x4.386holds
F3-037At n=407, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.68x4.681holds
F3-038At n=431, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.95x3.951holds
F3-039At n=457, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.68x4.681holds
F3-040At n=485, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.12x4.116holds
F3-041At n=514, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.70x4.698holds
F3-042At n=545, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.16x4.157holds
F3-043At n=577, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.07x4.065holds
F3-044At n=612, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.27x4.27holds
F3-045At n=649, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.32x4.323holds
F3-046At n=688, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.57x4.566holds
F3-047At n=729, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.27x4.268holds
F3-048At n=773, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 3.89x3.89holds
F3-049At n=819, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.03x4.026holds
F3-050At n=868, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.17x4.169holds
F3-051At n=921, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.26x4.263holds
F3-052At n=976, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.46x4.464holds
F3-053At n=1034, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.88x4.88holds
F3-054At n=1096, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.30x4.303holds
F3-055At n=1162, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.36x4.358holds
F3-056At n=1232, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.57x4.569holds
F3-057At n=1306, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.08x4.085holds
F3-058At n=1384, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.49x4.493holds
F3-059At n=1467, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.33x4.329holds
F3-060At n=1556, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.40x4.404holds
F3-061At n=1649, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.24x4.235holds
F3-062At n=1748, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.38x4.375holds
F3-063At n=1853, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.46x4.462holds
F3-064At n=1964, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.13x4.128holds
F3-065At n=2082, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.60x4.596holds
F3-066At n=2207, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.25x4.251holds
F3-067At n=2339, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.34x4.339holds
F3-068At n=2480, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.37x4.371holds
F3-069At n=2628, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.37x4.371holds
F3-070At n=2786, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.36x4.356holds
F3-071At n=2953, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.46x4.46holds
F3-072At n=3131, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.44x4.438holds
F3-073At n=3318, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.13x4.13holds
F3-074At n=3518, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.60x4.603holds
F3-075At n=3729, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.29x4.289holds
F3-076At n=3952, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.27x4.271holds
F3-077At n=4190, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.59x4.592holds
F3-078At n=4441, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.59x4.594holds
F3-079At n=4707, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.39x4.394holds
F3-080At n=4990, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.41x4.408holds
F3-081At n=5289, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.37x4.366holds
F3-082At n=5607, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.39x4.393holds
F3-083At n=5943, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.46x4.462holds
F3-084At n=6300, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.39x4.391holds
F3-085At n=6678, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.25x4.253holds
F3-086At n=7078, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.37x4.371holds
F3-087At n=7503, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.36x4.357holds
F3-088At n=7953, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.41x4.407holds
F3-089At n=8431, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.38x4.376holds
F3-090At n=8937, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.44x4.441holds
F3-091At n=9473, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.39x4.385holds
F3-092At n=10041, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.25x4.252holds
F3-093At n=10644, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.33x4.332holds
F3-094At n=11282, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.51x4.505holds
F3-095At n=11959, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.34x4.34holds
F3-096At n=12677, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.48x4.478holds
F3-097At n=13437, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.39x4.387holds
F3-098At n=14244, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.47x4.466holds
F3-099At n=15098, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.37x4.369holds
F3-100At n=16004, Hill and PWM tail indices differ by 4.44x4.437holds

What the failures mean

A failing entry is not a defect in the code — it is a case where the stated inequality does not hold over the full range, which bounds the claim's domain of validity. Those cases are kept.


Incoprea Research · study 10, 1,000 verified claims · 3 November 2026. Computation only.