F4: Derived-variable inflation of R-squared

F4 — Derived-variable inflation of R-squared. A variable formed from the outcome inflates apparent explanatory power by at least 1.5x. 50 of 100 verified.
IDClaimValueVerified
F4-001Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.03x at sigma_x=8.561.026fails
F4-002Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 141.42x at sigma_x=0.15141.421holds
F4-003Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=17.191.006fails
F4-004Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.14x at sigma_x=3.901.137fails
F4-005Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.02x at sigma_x=10.291.018fails
F4-006Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.13x at sigma_x=3.481.132fails
F4-007Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.56x at sigma_x=1.951.556holds
F4-008Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 7.69x at sigma_x=0.587.69holds
F4-009Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.02x at sigma_x=9.721.02fails
F4-010Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.02x at sigma_x=8.001.023fails
F4-011Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.06x at sigma_x=5.161.061fails
F4-012Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 3.41x at sigma_x=0.823.406holds
F4-013Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.00x at sigma_x=18.891.004fails
F4-014Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 112.65x at sigma_x=0.13112.648holds
F4-015Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 28.01x at sigma_x=0.3328.011holds
F4-016Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.37x at sigma_x=2.171.369fails
F4-017Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=11.241.013fails
F4-018Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.05x at sigma_x=5.901.053fails
F4-019Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 3.96x at sigma_x=0.893.959holds
F4-020Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=14.081.008fails
F4-021Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=14.131.008fails
F4-022Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.02x at sigma_x=8.801.021fails
F4-023Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.30x at sigma_x=2.451.303fails
F4-024Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 18.74x at sigma_x=0.2718.739holds
F4-025Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1829.13x at sigma_x=0.121829.125holds
F4-026Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.03x at sigma_x=7.281.03fails
F4-027Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.88x at sigma_x=1.511.879holds
F4-028Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 3.67x at sigma_x=0.873.667holds
F4-029Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.00x at sigma_x=30.131.002fails
F4-030Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 7.01x at sigma_x=0.657.009holds
F4-031Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=13.291.009fails
F4-032Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.02x at sigma_x=1.502.017holds
F4-033Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 7.17x at sigma_x=0.667.171holds
F4-034Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.27x at sigma_x=2.581.267fails
F4-035Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.00x at sigma_x=26.541.002fails
F4-036Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=17.201.006fails
F4-037Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 151.18x at sigma_x=0.15151.181holds
F4-038Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 139.10x at sigma_x=0.15139.1holds
F4-039Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.24x at sigma_x=2.921.238fails
F4-040Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.92x at sigma_x=1.531.92holds
F4-041Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.14x at sigma_x=3.551.138fails
F4-042Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 9.41x at sigma_x=0.499.406holds
F4-043Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 16.27x at sigma_x=0.4316.274holds
F4-044Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=11.061.015fails
F4-045Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 5.20x at sigma_x=0.745.196holds
F4-046Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.65x at sigma_x=1.162.652holds
F4-047Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 65.30x at sigma_x=0.1265.297holds
F4-048Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.27x at sigma_x=2.621.267fails
F4-049Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.07x at sigma_x=4.921.072fails
F4-050Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 54.82x at sigma_x=0.3054.816holds
F4-051Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=17.731.006fails
F4-052Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.00x at sigma_x=31.001.002fails
F4-053Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 87.62x at sigma_x=0.1387.616holds
F4-054Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 40.31x at sigma_x=0.2440.312holds
F4-055Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 23.20x at sigma_x=0.4623.198holds
F4-056Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.08x at sigma_x=1.452.077holds
F4-057Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 9.13x at sigma_x=0.409.133holds
F4-058Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.29x at sigma_x=2.351.292fails
F4-059Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.16x at sigma_x=3.281.159fails
F4-060Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 191.97x at sigma_x=0.15191.974holds
F4-061Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=13.961.008fails
F4-062Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.29x at sigma_x=1.182.293holds
F4-063Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.73x at sigma_x=1.102.73holds
F4-064Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.03x at sigma_x=7.251.03fails
F4-065Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.78x at sigma_x=1.431.784holds
F4-066Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.19x at sigma_x=2.821.195fails
F4-067Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.02x at sigma_x=8.761.025fails
F4-068Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.44x at sigma_x=2.011.436fails
F4-069Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 10.24x at sigma_x=0.4310.241holds
F4-070Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 42.84x at sigma_x=0.2942.838holds
F4-071Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.00x at sigma_x=29.351.002fails
F4-072Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 23.07x at sigma_x=0.3023.067holds
F4-073Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.34x at sigma_x=2.171.34fails
F4-074Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.26x at sigma_x=1.242.258holds
F4-075Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.00x at sigma_x=27.981.002fails
F4-076Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 17.94x at sigma_x=0.4217.936holds
F4-077Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 93.01x at sigma_x=0.2593.007holds
F4-078Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.82x at sigma_x=1.521.816holds
F4-079Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=18.371.006fails
F4-080Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=13.741.009fails
F4-081Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 11.87x at sigma_x=0.4311.869holds
F4-082Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=15.911.008fails
F4-083Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=14.211.008fails
F4-084Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.03x at sigma_x=7.351.035fails
F4-085Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2147.09x at sigma_x=0.122147.09holds
F4-086Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 5.32x at sigma_x=0.685.322holds
F4-087Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.02x at sigma_x=9.591.019fails
F4-088Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 7.73x at sigma_x=0.527.729holds
F4-089Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 33.43x at sigma_x=0.3333.432holds
F4-090Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=14.661.009fails
F4-091Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=13.171.011fails
F4-092Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 75.64x at sigma_x=0.3475.636holds
F4-093Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 50.27x at sigma_x=0.2050.272holds
F4-094Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.19x at sigma_x=3.011.186fails
F4-095Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.04x at sigma_x=6.911.036fails
F4-096Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 1.01x at sigma_x=13.101.011fails
F4-097Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 31.06x at sigma_x=0.2631.058holds
F4-098Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 2.21x at sigma_x=1.272.21holds
F4-099Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 8.84x at sigma_x=0.598.842holds
F4-100Adding a derived variable inflates R2 by 138.38x at sigma_x=0.14138.382holds

What the failures mean

A failing entry is not a defect in the code — it is a case where the stated inequality does not hold over the full range, which bounds the claim's domain of validity. Those cases are kept.


Incoprea Research · study 10, 1,000 verified claims · 3 November 2026. Computation only.