WORKING IDEAS · ADDITIVE BATCH 2

Why registered trials are withdrawn

Sample: 6,000 withdrawn studies (never started), ClinicalTrials.gov, 30 October 2026.

Reason n share
other/unspecified 2954 49.2%
enrollment 1250 20.8%
funding 551 9.2%
efficacy 393 6.5%
business 344 5.7%
protocol 322 5.4%
covid 126 2.1%
safety 60 1.0%

Reading

Withdrawal is a pre-start event: these trials were registered and then cancelled. Comparing this distribution with terminated trials shows whether the failure modes differ before and after launch.

Limits

Original files and code